俄烏戰火延燒 推升國際原物料上漲
Date: 2022-03-16
News Type:
俄烏交戰持續延燒,致使俄羅斯受到國際制裁,而俄羅斯是全球主要原物料的出口國,出口商品包括天然氣、原油、小麥、鋁和鈀金,國際市場擔憂制裁將中斷商品供給,促使交易員和進口商瘋狂搶進,帶動原物料價格狂飆。
截至目前(3/7)美國西德州原油價格,報每桶125.0美元;北海布蘭特原油價格,報每桶130.3美元。兩者原油價格自今年以來已分別狂飆將近66.2%與67.6%,雙雙寫下自2008金融海嘯以來的新高價格。而銅雖不是制裁商品,但在恐慌氛圍下,國際銅價再衝破萬元,報每噸10,702美元。隨著戰期拉長,國際原物料價格有極大機率再攀高。
儘管台灣電路板廠商並無在俄羅斯與烏克蘭設廠,且兩國也不是台灣電路板主要的進出口市場,所以俄烏戰爭對於廠商營收並無直接衝擊。但生產電路板所使用的工業電子級溶劑及樹脂等都與石油相關,而銅更是佔電路板生產成本約20~30%,因此原物料失控飆漲將推升電路板的製造成本,嚴重侵蝕廠商的利潤空間。再加上各國啟動對俄經濟制裁,將加速通澎壓力,最終壓抑終端產品的銷售動能,亦是干擾今年電路板產業成長表現的因素之一。
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