陸延後開工 三大電子生態圈斷鏈
Date: 2020-01-31
News Type:
武漢肺炎疫情延燒,直接衝擊大陸記憶體和面板、電路印刷板的生產重鎮湖北,更波及大陸其他省分的開工時間,造成三項電子關鍵零組件供應「卡關」。IHS Markit埃士信全球顯示部門研究總經理謝勤益昨(30)日表示,電視整機廠為確保出貨順暢,啟動對面板廠「搶單」大作戰,估TV面板本季價格大漲5-6美元。
大陸前兩大面板廠京東方、華星光電以及中小尺寸一哥天馬都落腳武漢。謝勤益表示,現在大陸面板廠依各地方政府要求延後開工,員工未返回職場、材料供應也受影響,韓國及台灣面板的大陸工廠都被波及。2月工作天數減少,影響在陸面板廠產能利用率減少15-20百分點。
謝勤益說,電視整機廠多已確定全年出貨計畫,恐慌面板缺貨,已經展開追加訂單的「搶單」行動,將帶動電視open cell面板報價漲幅,估計將從去年底上漲1-2美元,來到今年首季的大漲5-6美元的規模。
台灣面板廠昨天股價全面應聲重挫,群創、彩晶雙雙跌停;背光模組廠瑞儀下挫11.5元,以103.5元的跌停價收盤。
武漢是中國大陸記憶體製造重鎮,包括長江存儲和武漢新芯,曾有法人認為二大廠出貨受阻對其他記憶體廠有利,但據了解,目前二大記憶體廠NAND Flash和NOR Flash仍出貨正常,相對影響輕微。加上二家業者全球市占不高,科技廠可透過美光、三星、SK海力士或台廠南亞科、旺宏、華邦電等廠商採購,不致斷鏈。
記憶體廠仍緊盯疫情發展,主要擔心疫情衝擊全球經濟及消費,拖慢記憶體復甦腳步。南亞科、華邦電和旺宏昨日股價重挫,跌幅均逾8%,華邦電以跌停價17.3元作收。
目前產業與機構預測,武漢肺炎對PCB廠商硬板廠的影響高於CCL材料商,硬板廠中,定穎產能最集中該區域而影響最大。台資PCB廠商在湖北一帶當地直接設廠者有欣興黃石廠、健鼎仙桃廠,定穎黃石廠。
業者指出,現在是產業淡季,若以13日開工來算,2月影響約半個月,湖北武漢較嚴重,仙桃、黃石距離武漢開車都各約一小時,黃石交通相對便利。
分析師推估,欣興黃石廠區受當地交通運輸影響,對今年首季獲利的影響僅0.36%,估計對健鼎仙桃廠影響獲利僅1.76%,至於黃石廠出貨延後對定穎獲利影響達22.64%。(新聞來源:經濟日報)
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