中美貿易衝突 下半年出口縮水
Date: 2018-05-10
News Type:
財政部公佈4月出口267.3億美元、年增10%,光是中國大陸與香港即貢獻一半增幅、約5.2個百分點,;反觀囿於手機等拖累,對美出口增幅僅剩2.6%。展望5月份,財政部預估整體出口年增上看8%至10.5%,但下半年表現在去年基期高及陸美貿易衝突影響下,年增率只有個位數、約1.5%。
財政部統計處長蔡美娜表示,4月出口較3月曆史高點、近300億美元下滑10.9%,不過仍較去年同期增10%,剔除2月春節因素後,呈連續18個月正成長;累計前4月出口達1064.7億美元,年增10.5%,續創歷年同期新高紀錄,顯示出口景氣維持穩健上升步調,由傳產貨品與電子零組件形成雙主軸的架構不變,只是從各類別分析,差距已在拉大。
主要出口貨品中, 4月電子零組件出口85.5億美元,年增12.2%,創歷年同月新高;機械4月出口22.6億美元,也創下歷年同月新高,但因去年基期已高,年增率僅6.7%。反觀光學器材需求清淡,再加上中國大陸新產能陸續開出,整體電視大尺寸面板需求減少,出口衰減6.2%,連續3個月下滑。
據今年4月國際貨幣基金(IMF)提出的最新展望報告,今年全球成長率將創近7年最優,國際經濟前景仍呈審慎樂觀,加上物聯網、車用電子、高效能運算、生物辨識、虛擬貨幣等新興商機崛起以及電競風潮蔓延,可望持續為我國出口增添活水,惟須注意貿易衝突效應延燒、匯率波動及全球製造業競爭加劇、中國大陸供應鏈在地化等不確定風險。 (新聞來源: 中國時報)
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