台經院上修今年GDP為2.45%
Date: 2018-04-30
News Type:
台經院上修2018年台灣實質GDP成長率為2.45%，較1月預測上修0.11個百分點，台經院景氣預測中心主任孫明德指出，台灣目前經濟表現有「二好一壞」，分別是出口好、消費加速，但投資表現卻不佳。孫明德指出，台灣半導體進口資本設備從去年5月到今年3月都是呈現衰退，這比較令人憂心的。
台經院院長林建甫表示，儘管全球經濟仍處於復甦的趨勢上，但若中美貿易摩擦升溫，台灣將遭受波及。此外，蘋果下半年將發表新機，若市場反應不佳，也會直接影響台灣供應鏈廠商的經濟表現。
孫明德說，此次經濟成長率上修的幅度相當小，因為台灣經濟市場外有美中貿易戰，內有金融波動，因此，台經院對台灣下半年的經濟成長表現，不敢有太樂觀的預期。
台經院指出，全球景氣復甦、原物料價格續強、新興科技應用帶動，以及機械設備需求暢旺等因素，令3月出口與外銷訂單金額再創新高，半導體設備進口年跌幅縮小，資本設備進口年增率轉正，使得製造業廠商對於當月景氣看法轉好，但國際品牌手機銷售低迷、新機動向未明、中美貿易摩擦不確定性等問題，皆影響廠商對未來半年景氣看法偏向持平。 (數據源：經濟日報)
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