台灣PMI連紅23月史上最長
Date: 2018-02-12
News Type:
中經院昨天日公佈一月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI),連續廿三個月呈現擴張,持續突破史上最長擴張期的紀錄;中經院指出,此現象反映台灣景氣穩健回溫,但也提醒,「蘋果光」以及中國大陸環保政策的影響,必須持續關注。一月PMI續揚一個百分點至五十九,連續廿三個月的擴張後,力道還是相當強勁;非製造業經理人指數(NMI)也回升二點六個百分點至五十五點九,是去年五月以來最快的擴張速度。
中經院院長吳中書表示,本月製造業與非製造業表現都十分穩健,尤其製造業六大產業及非製造業八大產業中,除了非製造業的零售業處於收縮,其他全數擴張;製造業未來六個月景氣狀況指數連續廿三個月擴張,且指數躍升至六十五點七,為去年四月以來最高點。
中經院助研究員陳馨蕙說明,一月製造業和非製造業的暢旺表現,反映出農曆年前拉貨及消費旺季帶動效果,整體製造業也對未來抱持審慎樂觀的態度,但訪查廠商的過程中,有提到兩件事情比較值得憂心;其中一項就是「蘋果光」的亮度,電子業擔心蘋果在iPhone X之後,今年是否仍可端出令人眼睛一亮的新產品。
另外,儘管電力機械產業近幾個月表現不錯,陳馨蕙表示,廠商訂單主要來自美國跟大陸,前者因為推動減稅、製造業回流等政策,有進口相關設備的需求,後者則因政府提高環保標準,使得當地業者在設備上必須汰舊換新,因而需求增溫。陳馨蕙也指出,大陸提高環保標準的舉動,短期可讓台灣部分廠商訂單增加,但大陸以往都以低價競爭,若因應環保政策、提陞技術,台灣是否還有足夠競爭力能與之匹敵,須儘早思考、研擬對策。 (新聞來源: 聯合報)
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